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12/21/2006
  Predictions Recap
Here's one of those canonical end-of-year posts: How'd I do at my predictions for 2006.

Here's what I said last year in a post where I was trying to predict the major event for each of the upcoming 6 months:

January: Google Calendar releases. Integrates with Gmail by sucking dates out of your mail and into your calendar.

Good. 1 for 1.

February: Google Wallet or "Cash by Google" gets pushed out. Designed mainly to let you buy stuff from Froogle vendors.

OK. 2 for 2 - Google Checkout.

March: Google buys a music startup like Pandora.

Totally Wrong. They bought You Tube instead. 2 for 3.

April: Yahoo releases revamped Y! SMS (aka Overture) so the auction model works like Google, based on relevance. MSN takes away a bunch of inventory from Yahoo (i.e. MSN itself).

Totally wrong on Yahoo's time frame. MSN of course did take the inventory, and managed to decrease it as well. 2 for 4.

May: Ask Jeeves is re-branded / renamed. Still remains irrelevant, however.

I think this is right. I really haven't looked at Ask all year. 3 for 5.

June: MSN and Yahoo fight for more inventory, buying up properties, but they struggle and Google is more dominant in PPC than ever.

Good. MSN and Yahoo did do some deals for inventory (i.e. Facebook and Ebay). 4 for 6.

Overall, the best prediction I made last year was that Google would be MORE DOMINANT than ever. That's been true in spades.

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